Farqiga u dhexeeya qiimaha mustaqbalka ee Bitcoin iyo qiimaha dhabta ah ee suuqa (spot price) ayaa hoos u sii dhacaya, sida uu sheegay khabiir ka tirsan CryptoQuant.
Qoraal uu bartiisa Apriil 13 kusoo qoray Joao Wedson, oo ah qoraa ku biiriya CryptoQuant, ayuu ku sheegay in farqiga u dhexeeya qiimaha mustaqbalka (futures price) ee Bitcoin iyo qiimaha hadda ka jira suuqa (spot price) ee Binance uu bilaabay inuu yaraado. Farqigan, oo loo yaqaan “perpetual-spot gap,” wuxuu muujinayaa kala duwanaanta u dhexeysa waxa ganacsatada ay ku bixiyaan heshiisyada mustaqbalka iyo qiimaha rasmiga ah ee Bitcoin.
Maadaama farqiga uu haatan yahay mid taban (negative), waxay u badan tahay in ka-qaybgalayaasha suuqa mustaqbalka ay muujiyaan taxaddar ama ay faa’iido qaadanayaan kaddib kororkii uu Bitcoin gaadhay ilaa ku dhowaad $90,000. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, yaraanshaha farqigaasi wuxuu sidoo kale muujin karaa in cadaadiska iibka uu hoos u sii dhacayo. Taariikh ahaan, mararka uu farqigan noqdo mid toban (positive), qiimaha Bitcoin wuxuu la kulmaa koror muuqda – taasoo dhacday sannadihii 2020 iyo horraantii 2024.
Inkasta oo Bitcoin uu hoos uga dhacay in ka badan 22% qiimihiisii ugu sarreeyay ee ahaa $108,786 bishii Janaayo, haddana calaamadaha ururinta on-chain-ka ayaa weli xooggan. Sida lagu sheegay qoraal uu Glassnode soo dhigay barta X (Twitter) taariikhdu markay ahayd Abriil 11, waxaa la iibsaday ku dhowaad 40,000 BTC meel u dhow heerka $79,000, iyo qiyaastii 51,000 BTC agagaarka $82,080. Haddii qiimaha uu mar kale hoos u dhaco, heerarkaas waxaa laga yaabaa inay noqdaan taageerooyin (support levels).
Bitcoin wuxuu haatan ku ganacsanayaa qiime dhan $84,746 xilliga la qorayo warbixintan, isagoo kasoo kacay heerkiisii toddobaadkan ugu hooseeyay ee ahaa $74,773. Lacagtaas digital-ka ah ayaa kor u kacday 7% toddobaadkii la soo dhaafay.
Sidoo kale, Bitcoin ayaa dhowaan xiray “daily candle” kor uga sarreysa khadkii hoos u dhaca muddada dheer, taasoo keentay in falanqeeyaha suuqyada caanka ah Rekt Capital uu saadaaliyo in jabitaan (breakout) uu dhici karo. Si kastaba, wuxuu ku daray in loo baahan yahay tijaabo guul leh (successful retest) si loo xaqiijiyo in isbeddel dhab ah oo isbeddelka jihada ah uu dhacay.