Tusmada Dareenka Macaamiisha Michigan ayaa la filayaa inay korodho bisha December, balse weli way daciif tahay marka loo eego heerarka taariikhiga ah.
Saadaasha hordhaca ah ee December waxay muujinaysaa in tusmadani uga soo kabatay 52, kadib markii ay gaartay heerkii ugu hooseeyay saddex sano ee 51 bishii November.
Suurtagalnimada hoos u dhaca suuqa shaqada iyo cadaadiska sicir-bararka oo kordha ayaa weli culays ku saaraya kalsoonida macaamiisha.
Kororka yar ee ku yimaada tusmada Michigan uma badna inuu si weyn u taageero Doolarka Maraykanka oo daciifay.
Faahfaahin Dheeraad ah
Maraykanka ayaa Jimcaha soo saari doona saadaasha hordhaca ah ee Tusmada Dareenka Macaamiisha ee Jaamacadda Michigan (UoM). Waxaa la filayaa in tusmadu si yar u soo hagaagto iyadoo loo saadaaliyay 52, kadib 51 ee bishii hore.
Bishii November, dadka macaamiisha ah waxay muujiyeen aragti aad uga sii xun xaaladda dhaqaalaha hadda, iyadoo tusmada xaaladaha hadda ay ka dhacday 58.6 ilaa 51.1. Dhanka kale, Tusmada Rajada Dhaqaale waxay kor u kacday si aad u yar – 50.3 ilaa 51.
Tusmada Dareenka Macaamiisha waa sahamin bil kasta la sameeyo oo lagu qiimeeyo:
- Xaaladda dhaqaale ee qoysaska
- Shuruudaha ganacsiga
- Qorshaha wax-iibsiga
Waxay sidoo kale la socotaa Tusmada Rajada Macaamiisha iyo Tusmada Filashada Sicir-bararka.
Laba toddobaad kadib ayaa la sii dayn doonaa warbixinta kama dambaysta ah.
Saamaynta Dhaqaalaha
Kharashaadka maciishadda (household consumption) waxay ka yihiin laba-meelood meel GDP-ga Maraykanka. Sidaas darteed, tusmadan waa astaan aad loo fiiriyo oo tilmaamaysa jihada mustaqbalka dhaqaalaha Maraykanka, taasoo saamayn ku yeelata is-weydaarsiga doolarka (USD pairs).
Warbixinta December waa tii ugu horreysay ee ka dambeysa xayiraaddii dowladeed ee dheerayd ee Maraykanka, waxaana la eegayaa haddii dib u furista dowladda ay wax ka beddeshay kalsoonida.
Si kastaba, suuqa ayaa saadaalinaya inaan wax horumar ah oo weyn dhici doonin — shaqo la’aanta oo sii badanaysa iyo qiimayaasha oo sarreeya ayaa weli ah mushkiladda ugu weyn.
Heerka 52 ee la filayo waa koror yar oo ka yimid 51 ee November, balse weli wuxuu ka hooseeyaa ku dhawaad 30% heerkii 74 ee December sanadkii la soo dhaafay.
Warbixinta rasmiga ah ee November waxay sheegtay:
- Qiimaha kordhay iyo dakhliga oo daciifay ayaa sababay hoos u dhaca kalsoonida.
- Shuruudaha wax iibsiga waxay hoos u dhaceen in ka badan 10%.
- Inkastoo muuqaalka mustaqbalka sicir-bararku uu soo hagaagayo, dadka macaamiisha ah weli waxay dareemayaan culays qiimaha hadda jira.
Goorma ayaa la sii deynayaa tusmada UoM, sideese u saameyn kartaa USD?
Tusmada Dareenka Macaamiisha iyo Sahanka Filashada Sicir-bararka ayaa la soo saari doonaa Jimcaha 15:00 GMT.
Suuqa wuxuu filayaa koror yar oo aan filaynin inuu doolarka si weyn u taageero.
Doolarka Maraykanka wuxuu noqday kan ugu liita lacagaha G8 bishii November.
Soo-jeedinta Fed-ka ee hoos u dhigista dulsaarka, calaamadaha daciifka ah ee dhaqaalaha sida:
- iibka tafaariiqda (Retail Sales),
- wax-soo-saarka (Manufacturing),
ayaa sare u qaaday filashada in Fed-ku hoos u dhigo dulsaarka December.
Waxaa sidoo kale jirta war sheegaya in la-taliyaha dhaqaalaha ee White House, Kevin Hassett, uu yahay musharraxa ugu dhow ee beddeli kara Jerome Powell bisha May, taas oo kordhin karta rajada in siyaasadda lacagta la fududeeyo sanadka 2026.
Markay inta kale ee bangiyada dhexe aduunka joojiyeen hoos u dhigista dulsaarka, farqiga siyaasadda lacagta ee u dhexeeya iyaga iyo Fed-ka ayaa doolarka daciifiyay.
DXY – Aragti Farsamo
Falanaqaynta FXStreet waxay tibaaxeysaa in DXY uu jabiyay taageeradii muhiimka ahayd ee 99.00.
Haddii uusan kor uga soo laaban heerkaas, waxaa kordhaya cadaadiska hoos-u-dhaca ilaa:
- 98.57 (28 October low)
- 98.00 (17 October low)
- Bartilmaameedka qaabka double top: 97.50
Dhinaca kore, waxaa jira caqabado:
- 99.55
- 100.00
- 100.35 (heerkoodii bishii November)